Forecasting Principles - Evidence-based Forecasting
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Workshop on "Flash Indicators"

30 August 2010 - The International Institute of Forecasters will be sponsoring the 7th International Workshop - Flash Indicators. The workshop will take place in Verbier, Switzerland from the 21-22 January... Read more

Arnold Zellner, 1927-2010

13 August 2010 -Arnold Zellner, Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters and a leading economist at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business who pioneered the field of Bayesian econometrics,... Read more

Forecast Pro Newsletter Trends

12 August 2010 - Forecast Pro Newsletter Trends for August 2010 includes news about On-Demand Webinars for your convenience and New Product Forecasting survey results. Read more

S&OP Summit Foresight

12 August 2010 - S&OP Summit Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting invites Forecasters and other interested parties to their Sales and Operations Planning Summit. ... Read more

Changes to Self-Administered Tests of Forecasting Knowledge page

04 August 2010 - Based on early feedback, we have made some changes to the tests already and more will follow. We now provide a general introduction on the use of the tests, including some interesting... Read more

International Symposium on Forecasting 2011: Prague

26 July 2010 -The 31st International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF) will take place in Prague from June 26-29, 2011. As the premier, international forecasting conference, the ISF provides the opportunity to... Read more

Predicting elections using the big issue

23 July 2010 - Andreas Graefe and Scott Armstrong developed a model for forecasting U.S. Presidential Elections based on perceptions of how candidates would handle the big issue of the time. The... Read more

SAS/IIF Grant to Promote Research on Forecasting

13 July 2010 -The deadline for applications for these grants is rapidly approaching. New visitors to the ForPrin.com site might be interested to know that our major sponsor, the International Institute of... Read more

Webinar on forecasting a product hierarchy

09 July 2010 - Eric Stellwagen of Business Forecast Systems, Inc. will present a free Webinar concerning "Considerations for Effectively Forecasting a Product Hierarchy" on July 21 at 2 PM ET.... Read more

Update on IARPA judgmental forecasting program

01 July 2010 - IARPA's Aggregative Contingent Estimation (ACE) Program seeks to develop and test methods for generating accurate and timely probabilistic forecasts, leading indicators, and early warning for... Read more

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Principle of the day:

8.4 Provide numerical scales with several categories for experts\' answers

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About ForPrin

The Forecasting Principles site summarizes all useful knowledge about forecasting so that it can be used by researchers, practitioners, and educators. The site is devoted to improving decision making by furthering scientific forecasting.

 
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© Copyright 1997-2009 by J. Scott Armstrong. All rights are reserved. Web Design by Zoe Communications Ltd.
This site is directed by J. Scott Armstrong and Kesten C. Green.

The Forecasting Principles site was sponsored by the Marketing Department of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania for the first nine years. The International Institute of Forecasters has been a sponsor since July 2006.
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