Forecasting Principles - Evidence-based Forecasting
News

 

New data from the M3-competition

17 December 2009 -Michele Hibon has grouped forecasts into the 24 different methods used by the competitors in the M3-competition in an Excel file. The data is now available on the Data Page under the... Read more

Tourism Forecasting Special Interest Group Launched

16 December 2009 -The Tourism Forecasting Special Interest Group (SIG), sponsored by The Hong Kong Tourism Demand Forecasting System (HKTDFS), was launched on November 26. This SIG is maintained by Haiyan Song, the... Read more

History shows manmade global warming alarm to be false – but that harmful policies will persist

14 December 2009 -Using the structured analogies forecasting method that they have developed, Kesten Green and Scott Armstrong have concluded that alarm over “dangerous manmade global warming” is the... Read more

ForPrin.com visits exceed 2 million

11 December 2009 -The number of visits to the Forecasting Principles site has in less than a year doubled to now exceed 2 million. The first million visits was not achieved until ten years after the site was... Read more

Copenhagen climate summit concerns not justified by scientific forecasting

07 December 2009 -In their paper in the latest issue of the International Journal of Forecasting, Kesten Green, Scott Armstrong, and Willie Soon cast doubt on the need for concern over dangerous manmade global warming... Read more

Lancaster's "Forecasting Fundamentals Course" on 2nd & 3rd December

11 November 2009 -Some places are still available for Lancaster's course starting on 2-3 December with a second two-day block by arrangement. Some experience in forecasting is assumed. The course will consist of... Read more

Foresight Anthology of popular articles

06 November 2009 -A new Foresight Anthology is now available. The Anthology is titled "How to Evaluate, Manage, and Improve Your Forecasting Process." You can inspect the Anthology contents and place an... Read more

International Symposium on Forecasting 2010: San Diego

04 November 2009 -The web site for the 2010 International Symposium on Forecasting in San Diego, California, is now up and running. The conference is to be held from 20 to 23 June at the Manchester Grand Hyatt. Key... Read more

International Journal of Forecasting 25(4)

24 October 2009 -The October-December 2009 issue of the International Journal of Forecasting is out and includes a special section on "Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability" edited... Read more

Forecast Pro Training Workshop

13 October 2009 -Forecast Pro will have its training workshop in San Franciso on November 16-18. The purpose of the workshop is to give attendees a better understanding of how to use the Forecast Pro package more... Read more

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Principle of the day:

13.6 Describe potential biases of forecasters.

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The Forecasting Principles site summarizes all useful knowledge about forecasting so that it can be used by researchers, practitioners, and educators. The site is devoted to improving decision making by furthering scientific forecasting.

 
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