Share this post
FaceBook  Twitter  

Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts

(ConflictForecasting.com & TerrorismForecasting.com)

A resource for managers, practitioners, and researchers concerned with forecasting the decisions of parties in conflict. Methods for forecasting decisions in conflicts provide useful information for decision makers who are concerned with industrial disputes, corporate takeovers, inter-communal conflicts, political negotiations, diplomatic and military confrontations, and counter-terrorism.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Crime Forecasting Research

Crime forecasting is an emerging application area for forecast research. While there have been isolated papers in the literature, it is only recently that there has been major interest and thus research programs in the area.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by Wilpen L. Gorr.

Health Forecasting

A resource for policy makers and researchers interested in forecasting health and health care. Forecasting techniques can be used to project demographic changes, health resources, future impact of disease, health risk factor distributions, trends in population health, and health care spending.

Neural Networks

Artificial Neural Networks (NN) look for patterns in the data, typically drawing upon the series itself, but also drawing upon other data. Despite increasing research activity in various applications, evidence is sparse on the value of this approach for forecasting due to the vast degrees of freedom in their application. Knowledge in this area has been centralized at Forecasting with Neural Network (off-site link)

This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Political Forecasting

The political forecasting special interest group is envisioned as a resource for scholars and practitioners interested in forecasting elections and other political events. In election years, we post public opinion surveys as well as forecasts made by election models, commentaries on the same, bibliographies, and other items of interest to the forecasting community.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. and This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Prediction Markets

(MarketsForForecasting.com)

Prediction markets are a judgmental forecasting method for aggregating individuals' private information. Participants reveal their information by trading contracts with pay-offs tied to the outcomes of future events. The market automatically aggregates the formerly dispersed bits of information and produces dynamic forecasts.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by Andreas Graefe.

Public Policy Forecasting

(PublicPolicyForecasting.com)

Public Policy Forecasting provides a platform for the rational analysis of governments' policies. Forecasting is more important for the public sector than for the private sector because public policy involves coercion, can result in large changes, and is not guided by prices. The injunction to "first, do no harm" is therefore appropriate for public policy decision making. Scientific forecasting can help decision makers to choose the best policies.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Rule-Based Forecasting

Rule based forecasting (RBF) combines domain knowledge with statistical methods to produce combined forecasts. In this special interest group, researchers and practitioners will find an assimilation of 5 decades of forecasting knowledge that has gone into the creation of RBF. Features of time series, use of domain knowledge represented as causal forces, and results from empirical work in this area are also presented here. In addition, you will find useful links to other relevant research.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Software Development Cost Estimation

Efficient development of software requires accurate forecasts of software development effort. Unfortunately, software development effort estimates are notorious for being too optimistic, and there seems to have been no substantial improvement in estimation accuracy over the years. Inaccurate software estimates cause trouble in business processes related to software development such as project feasibility analyses, bidding, budgeting and planning.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it and This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Forecasting Graphics

Forecasting Graphics is a new Special Interest Group. Watch here for developments.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Tourism Forecasting

The Tourism Forecasting SIG builds a useful platform for industry executives, forecasting practitioners, and researchers concerned with tourism forecasting. It offers a comprehensive overview of the basic concepts and methods of tourism demand forecasting. In addition, the SIG also contains a large number of recent tourism forecasting publications. The site is linked to a number of official datasets and computer software sources, which are useful for tourism forecasting practitioners and researchers.

This Special Interest Group is maintained by This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..