General Bibliographies

Forecasting Literature To 1978, with Annotations and Ratings
Forecasting Literature 1978-1985, with Annotations
Bibliography of Business and Economic Forecasting
Reviews of Important Papers in Forecasting

Forecasting Literature To 1978, with Annotations and Ratings

Over 500 references on forecasting [PDF] annotated and rated by J. Scott Armstrong . These are selected from books and articles that were discussed in the first edition of Long-range Forecasting, by J. Scott Armstrong.

The ratings are Professor Armstrong's judgments based on the following criteria:

• Is the article relevant and important to the study of forecasting methods?
• Does the article provide new and convincing information?
• Is the article well written?
• Has the article been superceded by more recent publications?

These factors were used to develop a four-star system which may be interpreted as follows:

****	Outstanding! Scores well on all criteria above. This work should be of great interest
***	Very good. Is important in some aspects.
**	Good. Contains something of value.
*	Marginal. Scores poorly on at least one of the four criteria or low on a number of criteria.

The distribution of the references was as follows:

Rating

Number

****

21

***

121

**

234

*

136

Note: To search for specific words and phrases in the Acrobat Reader, use the Find button (binoculars) and the Find Again button (binoculars with a right arrow).

Forecasting Literature 1978-1985, with Annotations

More than 270 books and articles – published primarily from 1977-1984 – are annotated in this updated bibliography; they were discussed in the second edition of Long-Range Forecasting, published in 1985. Some references prior to 1977 are also included, having been overlooked in the first edition of Long-Range Forecasting.

Bibliography of Business and Economic Forecasting

The Bibliography of Business and Economic Forecasting was published in 1981 (Fildes et al.) with a supplement in 1984 covering research publications for the 1971-1981 with additional references from the earlier years , particularly 1965-1970. Books were also included. What was unusual about the bibliography was that it was intensively keyworded, the choice of keywords deriving from my own research perspective in forecasting.

With Web of Science, Google Scholar, etc. these references are readily retrievable. However the keywords remain useful for getting a broader perspective on research relevant to forecasting beyond what can be found from simple electronic searches. In addition to the introductory material (first three items below) the bibliography is available in Endnote format and as an rtf file.

• Introduction (edited) describes the project
• Key Words (from introduction) describes the search technique
• Coverage provides a list of the journals covered
• Bibliography - Endnote MYD file
• Bibliography - Endnote FRM file
• Bibliography - Rich text format (rtf) file

Reviews of Important Papers in Forecasting

• Before 1985

• From 1985 - 1995

Follow the links above to summaries and critiques (written by J. Scott Armstrong) of important articles on forecasting. Authors of the original papers were invited to comment. They did so in almost all cases and their suggestions were usually followed.