Forecasting Principles - Evidence-based Forecasting
Request for information on forecasting for national security from IARPA  E-mail

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) has issued a request for information on forecasting for national security decision makers who are interested in forecasting political, social, and military events over one-month to one-year horizons. Responses may be used to support the development of a future IARPA Program Broad Agency Announcement and therefore must be available for unrestricted public distribution. The RFI is available here.
 

Principle of the day:

4.2 Ensure that information is reliable and that measurement error is low

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