Edited by: Rob J Hyndman
  Monash University
Issue date: 2012-12-22
Papers: 13
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As in previous years, the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) will grant travel awards to enable individuals from all over the world to attend the International Symposium on Forecasting. They are primarily for students in the area of forecasting and secondarily for non-student forecasting researchers and practitioners. The deadline for applications is February 22, 2013. For more information, visit http://forecasters.org/activities/funding-awards/travel-grants/

www.forecastingprinciples.com has been attacked by someone (not sure by whom) over the past few weeks. Thanks for the messages that some of you had sent. In the meantime we have cleaned the code, and can tell you that the website is safe, for now. However we are also in the middle of making the website more secure to ensure that does not happen again. Unfortunately it takes time for Google to remove the warning signs, as they need to review the website again fully. I use Firefox and almost always get through with no problem. Occasionally, I have to continue past the warning. We will let you know as soon as the new website is live.

Recently, Nate Silver challenged Joe Scarborough to a $2,000 bet on the presidential election outcome after the latter called the New York Times blogger a partisan for predicting the Obama will win reelection. With Polly the election forecasting parrot on his shoulder, "Cap'n" Scott Armstrong has offered to join "Long" Nate Silver in his bet against Joe "Talking" Scarborough.

As we move into the final days for the election, you might find the forecasts on pollyvote.com to be of interest. The PollyVote combines forecasts within each method (e.g., polls, econometric models, betting markets) and then averages across the methods. It forecasts the two-party split for the popular vote and is updated daily.