Kenneth Wallis, Emeritus Professor of Econometrics, University of Warwick, Featured Speaker at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston will be giving a talk titled "The Measurement and Characteristics of Professional Forecasters' Uncertainty". Professor Wallis will examine macroeconomic forecast uncertainty as measured by the personal probabilities of professional forecasters. The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012.
William of Occam wrote, "It is vain to do with more what can be done with fewer". A call for papers from the Journal of Business Research asks, what is the right level of complexity for forecasting methods and how does it vary with the conditions? Researchers are invited to send proposals for experimental studies examining multiple reasonable hypotheses, replications and extensions of important studies, and meta-analyses of evidence on simple versus complex forecasting methods and the effect of conditions on forecast accuracy for this Special Issue of the Journal of Business Research. The deadline for detailed proposals is 30 November, 2012, and the CFP is available here.
Leonard Smith, Professor in Statistics at London School of Economics, Featured Speaker at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston will be giving a talk titled "Predictability and Insight: Contrasting the achievable aims of forecasting in weather-like cases and climate-like cases". The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012.
Spyros Makridakis, Emeritus Professor of Decision Sciences at INSEAD, a Featured Speaker at the ISF, will give a talk titled "Forecasting: Past and Future" at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston. The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012. Professor Makridakis will describe opportunities for forecasting researchers and practitioners to better address the needs of decision makers and policy makers.
James H. Stock, Professor of Political Economy at the Harvard Kennedy School, will be giving a Keynote Address on "Forecasting with many predictors" at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston. The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012. Professor Stock will compare dynamic factor models with other many-predictor approaches from the statistics literature.