Leonard Smith, Professor in Statistics at London School of Economics, Featured Speaker at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston will be giving a talk titled "Predictability and Insight: Contrasting the achievable aims of forecasting in weather-like cases and climate-like cases". The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012.
Spyros Makridakis, Emeritus Professor of Decision Sciences at INSEAD, a Featured Speaker at the ISF, will give a talk titled "Forecasting: Past and Future" at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston. The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012. Professor Makridakis will describe opportunities for forecasting researchers and practitioners to better address the needs of decision makers and policy makers.
James H. Stock, Professor of Political Economy at the Harvard Kennedy School, will be giving a Keynote Address on "Forecasting with many predictors" at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston. The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012. Professor Stock will compare dynamic factor models with other many-predictor approaches from the statistics literature.
Powdthavee and Riyanto ask "Why do people pay for useless advice?" in their discussion paper on "Implications of gambler's and hot-hand fallacies in false-expert setting". They test whether people are fooled by random sequences into believing that an expert is making valid predictions and, consistently with the seer-sucker theory, they find the answer is "yes". Their paper is available here.
The International Symposium on Forecasting is the highlight of the forecasting calendar, and the release of the Program is a treat of anticipation for those who are attending. The ISF 2012 Program is now available, here. This year, the Program is available in several formats and can be searched by title, presenter, keyword, and JEL classification.