James H. Stock, Professor of Political Economy at the Harvard Kennedy School, will be giving a Keynote Address on "Forecasting with many predictors" at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston. The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012. Professor Stock will compare dynamic factor models with other many-predictor approaches from the statistics literature.
Powdthavee and Riyanto ask "Why do people pay for useless advice?" in their discussion paper on "Implications of gambler's and hot-hand fallacies in false-expert setting". They test whether people are fooled by random sequences into believing that an expert is making valid predictions and, consistently with the seer-sucker theory, they find the answer is "yes". Their paper is available here.
The International Symposium on Forecasting is the highlight of the forecasting calendar, and the release of the Program is a treat of anticipation for those who are attending. The ISF 2012 Program is now available, here. This year, the Program is available in several formats and can be searched by title, presenter, keyword, and JEL classification.
Robin Hogarth, ICREA research professor at Universitat Pompeu Fabra in Barcelona, will be giving a Keynote Address on "Improving judgments through simulation" at the 32nd International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston. The Symposium is being held at the Marriott Copley Place from 24 to 27 June 2012. Professor Hogarth will discuss experimental evidence on methods for improving the accuracy of judgmental forecasts.

In this panel at the International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston, Green, Armstrong and Soon will argue that Fildes and Kourentzes's 2011 findings extend and reinforce their 2009 findings. They make suggestions for further extensions and, with the help of new forecasts from Fildes and Kourentzes's models, present new findings on some of the proposed extensions. Robert Fildes will be on the panel, as will ISF featured speaker Professor Leonard Smith (LSE), and leading climate scientist Professor Richard Lindzen (MIT). The session will allow time for questions and discussion.