At the Annual International Symposium on Forecasting in Prague, Andreas Graefe and Scott Armstrong presented an extension of their Journal of Business Research paper on predicting the outcome of U.S. presidential elections based on candidates' biographies. In particular, they presented conditional forecasts of the 2012 election outcome. Of 14 potential candidates, only one achieved an index score higher than President Obama and thus would be predicted to win the election: Texas Governor Rick Perry. See the full news item at