From today, Polly the election forecasting parrot uses the daily forecasts from the Iowa Electronic Market vote-share market in her combined forecast. She calculates a 7-day rolling average, and incorporates this combined IEM forecast into the PollyVote. For details, see the pages.

There is now just one component that Polly is still waiting to include in her combination: the combined expert forecasts. Polly expects to hear from her experts for the first time in August.